Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 17% on 18 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 17% on 18 Mar 2026 and the low 0.3% on 30 Apr 2026. $162.63K traded over the market's life.
77 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 6:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 23 points · 18 Mar 2026 – 1 May 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2026 | 17.0% |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sanalid | Yes | 8.06K |
| Nuli456 | Yes | 8.04K |
| Dr.Hamad | Yes | 4.9K |
| ZachB66 | Yes | 2.55K |
| haheidarian | Yes | 151.48 |
| Voluminous-Ginseng | Yes | 142.85 |
| Phony-Shadow | Yes | 126.18 |
| Caioba | Yes | 94.73 |
| SubZero2026 | Yes | 84.73 |
| LolesMan | Yes | 83.27 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military by the listed daye 11:59 PM PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israeli-forces-enter-beirut-by
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