Analytics
NASAMS is down $591.47 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-02 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? | No | 74.07 | $0.810 | $67.78 | +$7.78 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-02 16:43 UTC
Polymarket public position response
16 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 23:59 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 23:59 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-02 16:43 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.99K and losing ones cost $134.07 across the latest 50 settled positions. 84% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $284.12 on “Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?” (Yes); the largest loss, $28 on “Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?” (No).
It has traded 321 markets. Its open positions are worth $367.41 across 16 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 66.79 |
| $0.898 |
| $65.36 |
| +$5.36 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 45.98 | $0.870 | $44.62 | +$4.62 |
 UK Recession in 2026? | No | 44.68 | $0.694 | $42.44 | +$11.44 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 240.42 | $0.395 | $34.86 | -$60.04 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 312.5 | $0.160 | $32.81 | -$17.19 |
| Will Valve add sticker trade-ups before November? | No | 23.26 | $0.903 | $22.44 | +$1.44 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 81.08 | $0.370 | $21.89 | -$8.11 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 54.19 | $0.240 | $8.94 | -$4.06 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 9.8 | $0.510 | $8.68 | +$3.68 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | Yes | 271.32 | $0.070 | $6.92 | -$12.07 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | No | 28.85 | $0.520 | $4.9 | -$10.1 |
 Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | No | 14.71 | $0.340 | $3.24 | -$1.76 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.42 | $0.480 | $2.24 | -$2.76 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 58.82 | $0.017 | $0.21 | -$0.79 |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 21.74 | $0.046 | $0.1 | -$0.9 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
