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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?No | sell | 170.65 | $0.956 | $163.07 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 220.13 |
| $0.465 |
| $102.46 |
| Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?No | buy | 80.65 | $0.620 | $50 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?No | buy | 109.02 | $0.459 | $50 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?No | buy | 20.79 | $0.477 | $9.91 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?No | buy | 101.69 | $0.590 | $60 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?No | buy | 90.01 | $0.667 | $60 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?No | buy | 277.78 | $0.360 | $100 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Litecoin ETF approved by July 31?No | sell | 153.84 | $0.976 | $150.12 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?No | buy | 23.35 | $0.740 | $17.28 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | sell | 50.82 | $0.340 | $17.28 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?No | buy | 88.15 | $0.718 | $63.33 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | sell | 65.63 | $0.965 | $63.33 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 65.64 | $0.610 | $40.04 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JulyYes | sell | 5.6 | $0.890 | $4.98 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 50.83 | $0.690 | $35.07 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?Yes | buy | 639.8 | $0.031 | $20 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JulyYes | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | sell | 74.86 | $0.997 | $74.64 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11?Down | sell | 13.34 | $0.003 | $0.04 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11?Down | buy | 13.34 | $0.300 | $4 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $108,000 on July 11?No | sell | 250 | $0.013 | $3.25 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $108,000 on July 11?No | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10?Down | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10?Down | sell | 41.66 | $0.140 | $5.83 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10?Down | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 8?Up | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | sell | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 7?Down | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | sell | 10 | $0.540 | $5.4 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 94.87 | $0.520 | $49.33 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | sell | 11.36 | $0.870 | $9.88 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.720 | $20 | May 20, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 142.55 | $0.570 | $81.31 | May 11, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 42.55 | $0.470 | $20 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yunakivka before June?No | sell | 27.02 | $0.897 | $24.25 | May 5, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 65.79 | $0.760 | $50 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?No | buy | 40 | $0.800 | $32 | May 5, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.630 | $30 | May 5, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 149.99 | $0.430 | $64.5 | May 5, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 29-May 5?Yes | buy | 28.09 | $0.890 | $25 | May 4, 2025 |
| Litecoin ETF approved by July 31?No | buy | 42.55 | $0.705 | $30 | May 4, 2025 |
 Solana ETF approved by July 31?No | sell | 81.66 | $0.730 | $59.61 | May 4, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 29-May 5?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.900 | $25 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.850 | $25 | May 4, 2025 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will Labour win the most seats in the next Australian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 62.79 | $0.941 | $59.09 | May 2, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.590 | $59 | May 2, 2025 |