Latest trade
Oct 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 10:59 PM UTC.
Analytics
crop? is down $293.87 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-04 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 19, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 10:59 PM UTC.
$24.72 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 16 markets; 42.0% were buys. They run from Oct 2, 2026 UTC to Oct 19, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 7.81K | $0.099 | $452.95 | -$322.4 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 89.78 | $0.150 | $13.47 | 7d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-04 04:04 UTC
Polymarket public position response
20 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 22:59 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 22:59 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-04 04:04 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $3.43K and losing ones cost $2.6K across the latest 50 settled positions. 54% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $457.9 on “Biden drops out of presidential race?” (Yes); the largest loss, $300 on “$BTC price >$50,000 1 hour after ETF approval?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 19 Oct 2026. It has traded 345 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.38K across 20 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 819.21 |
| $0.329 |
| $315.4 |
| +$46.2 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 125 | $0.167 | $112.31 | +$91.41 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 175.44 | $0.570 | $112.28 | +$12.28 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.100 | $67.5 | +$17.5 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 548.84 | $0.259 | $60.37 | -$81.83 |
 Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 264.74 | $0.189 | $56.92 | +$6.92 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027? | No | 121.95 | $0.410 | $48.17 | -$1.83 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | Yes | 641.55 | $0.068 | $44.91 | +$1.31 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 191.53 | $0.522 | $34.95 | -$65.05 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 456.05 | $0.110 | $16.87 | -$33.13 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | Yes | 105.49 | $0.331 | $16.35 | -$18.59 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 789.49 | $0.019 | $12.24 | -$2.76 |
 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 2.16K | $0.008 | $9.71 | -$7.55 |
 Will NTE: Neverness to Everness win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | Yes | 93.94 | $0.128 | $9.3 | -$2.7 |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 387.41 | $0.023 | $2.13 | -$6.63 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 330.83 | $0.020 | $1.98 | -$4.54 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 435.48 | $0.019 | $1.52 | -$6.69 |
 Will SpaceXAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 170 | $0.025 | $0.17 | -$4.13 |
| Will Z.ai be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 99 | $0.033 | $0.15 | -$3.12 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.150 |
| $15 |
| 7d ago |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 121.95 | $0.410 | $50 | 9d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 40.86 | $0.520 | $21.25 | 10d ago |
| Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 264.74 | $0.189 | $50 | 11d ago |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Yes | buy | 641.55 | $0.068 | $43.59 | 11d ago |
| Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 189.78 | $0.140 | $26.57 | 11d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.100 | $50 | 11d ago |
 Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?No | buy | 224.39 | $0.146 | $32.66 | 11d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?No | buy | 110 | $0.159 | $17.5 | 11d ago |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?No | buy | 110 | $0.149 | $16.4 | 11d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 890.37 | $0.085 | $75.5 | 11d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 2.97K | $0.100 | $296.39 | 12d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 16.12 | $0.520 | $8.38 | 13d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 276 | $0.102 | $28.15 | 16d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 294.56 | $0.098 | $28.87 | 16d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 220 | $0.104 | $22.88 | 16d ago |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | buy | 175.44 | $0.570 | $100 | 16d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 540.2 | $0.104 | $56.18 | 16d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.103 | $147.27 | 16d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 338.42 | $0.101 | $34.19 | 16d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 118.42 | $0.104 | $12.26 | 16d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 113.04 | $0.101 | $11.43 | 16d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 212.38 | $0.101 | $21.36 | 16d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 408.8 | $0.100 | $40.89 | 16d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 0.82 | $0.520 | $0.43 | 17d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.520 | $15.6 | 17d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | 17d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.520 | $10.4 | 17d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 39 | $0.520 | $20.28 | 17d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?No | sell | 113.89 | $0.700 | $79.72 | 22d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?No | sell | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | 23d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?No | sell | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | 23d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.700 | $0.01 | 24d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?No | sell | 27.58 | $0.700 | $19.31 | 24d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?No | sell | 7.5 | $0.700 | $5.25 | 24d ago |
| Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 252 | $0.570 | $143.64 | 24d ago |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | sell | 406.35 | $0.370 | $150.35 | 24d ago |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | sell | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | sell | 764.53 | $0.370 | $282.88 | 24d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?No | sell | 45.01 | $0.700 | $31.51 | 24d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?No | sell | 143.99 | $0.650 | $93.59 | 24d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?No | sell | 50 | $0.650 | $32.5 | 24d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?No | sell | 87.86 | $0.643 | $56.49 | 24d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?No | sell | 2.53 | $0.643 | $1.63 | 24d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?No | sell | 42.79 | $0.643 | $27.52 | 24d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?No | sell | 174.44 | $0.630 | $109.9 | 24d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.650 | $0.01 | 24d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?No | sell | 0.01 | $0.700 | $0.01 | 24d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?No | sell | 10 | $0.630 | $6.3 | 24d ago |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.