Analytics
crop? is down $293.87 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-04 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 7.81K | $0.099 | $445.14 | -$330.21 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-04 04:04 UTC
Polymarket public position response
20 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 03:09 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-27 03:09 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-04 04:04 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $3.43K and losing ones cost $2.6K across the latest 50 settled positions. 54% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $457.9 on “Biden drops out of presidential race?” (Yes); the largest loss, $300 on “$BTC price >$50,000 1 hour after ETF approval?” (Yes).
It has traded 345 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.37K across 20 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 819.21 |
| $0.329 |
| $319.49 |
| +$50.29 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 175.44 | $0.570 | $116.67 | +$16.67 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 125 | $0.167 | $115.13 | +$94.23 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.100 | $67.5 | +$17.5 |
 Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 264.74 | $0.189 | $56.92 | +$6.92 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 548.84 | $0.259 | $54.88 | -$87.32 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027? | No | 121.95 | $0.410 | $47.56 | -$2.44 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | Yes | 641.55 | $0.068 | $44.91 | +$1.31 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 191.53 | $0.522 | $35.05 | -$64.95 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 456.05 | $0.110 | $16.87 | -$33.13 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | Yes | 105.49 | $0.331 | $16.35 | -$18.59 |
 Will NTE: Neverness to Everness win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | Yes | 93.94 | $0.128 | $9.3 | -$2.7 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 789.49 | $0.019 | $9.08 | -$5.92 |
 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 2.16K | $0.008 | $5.4 | -$11.87 |
 Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 387.41 | $0.023 | $1.55 | -$7.21 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 435.48 | $0.019 | $1.52 | -$6.69 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 330.83 | $0.020 | $1.49 | -$5.04 |
 Will SpaceXAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 170 | $0.025 | $0.17 | -$4.13 |
| Will Z.ai be the #2 AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 99 | $0.033 | $0.15 | -$3.12 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
