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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 1.77 | $0.360 | $0.64 | Apr 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.77 |
| $0.620 |
| $1.1 |
| Apr 20, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | sell | 2.66 | $0.293 | $0.78 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.412 | $1.1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$60k | sell | 2.15 | $0.320 | $0.69 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$60k | buy | 2.16 | $0.510 | $1.1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.9 | $0.310 | $0.9 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.89 | $0.380 | $1.1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 3.05 | $0.370 | $1.13 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.360 | $1.1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 4.07 | $0.370 | $1.51 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 4.07 | $0.270 | $1.1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.370 | $1.23 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.330 | $1.1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 3.92 | $0.250 | $0.98 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.93 | $0.280 | $1.1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | sell | 3.14 | $0.351 | $1.1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | buy | 3.14 | $0.350 | $1.1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.82 | $0.338 | $0.95 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.390 | $1.1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 4.07 | $0.380 | $1.55 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 4.07 | $0.270 | $1.1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyYes | sell | 1.54 | $0.700 | $1.08 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | sell | 3.14 | $0.300 | $0.94 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | buy | 3.14 | $0.350 | $1.1 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyYes | buy | 1.55 | $0.710 | $1.1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.07 | $0.510 | $1.06 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.530 | $1.1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.56 | $0.500 | $1.28 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.430 | $1.1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.66 | $0.390 | $0.65 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.660 | $1.1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5.87 | $0.270 | $1.58 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.360 | $1.1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.390 | $1.1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.24 | $0.500 | $1.12 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.24 | $0.490 | $1.1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.96 | $0.480 | $0.94 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.560 | $1.1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | sell | 3.92 | $0.260 | $1.02 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 3.93 | $0.280 | $1.1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.45 | $0.410 | $1 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Pacers vs. JazzPacers | buy | 2.04 | $0.540 | $1.1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.450 | $1.1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.44 | $0.440 | $1.07 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.450 | $1.1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.39 | $0.440 | $1.05 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.39 | $0.460 | $1.1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Mariners vs. Blue JaysMariners | buy | 2.34 | $0.470 | $1.1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.23 | $0.300 | $1.27 | Oct 17, 2025 |