Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.7%. Yes opened at 93% on 7 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 68 daily closes on record from 7 Jan 2026 to 15 Mar 2026, the highest close was 94% on 8 Jan 2026 and the lowest 2.6% on 14 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 44% on 15 Jan 2026.
357 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 17, 2:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 68 points, 7 Jan 2026 – 15 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | 93.0% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 3.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| erokha | Yes | 72.64K |
| Gold.Mansacks | Yes | 26.39K |
| WhitneyHouston | Yes | 19.74K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin - MicroStrategy announces holding 750k+ BTC - MicroStrategy announces bankruptcy - Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) added to S&P 500 Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/MicroStrategy.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-microstrategy
| Yes |
| 8.4K |
| wersdok | Yes | 7K |
| Lilsebastian | Yes | 2.88K |
| lostwallaby | Yes | 2.5K |
| humanbee | No | 2.22K |
| botLecter | Yes | 1.8K |
| 858585 | Yes | 1.7K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
