Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes | buy | 69.06 | $0.319 | $22 | May 5, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 259.53 |
| $0.427 |
| $110.85 |
| Jul 7, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel before August?Yes | sell | 397.53 | $0.279 | $110.85 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel before August?Yes | buy | 41.47 | $0.320 | $13.27 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | sell | 25.04 | $0.530 | $13.27 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel before August?Yes | buy | 18.14 | $0.330 | $5.98 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 20.62 | $0.290 | $5.98 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | buy | 25.04 | $0.550 | $13.77 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel before August?Yes | buy | 40.63 | $0.320 | $13 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel before August?Yes | buy | 73.12 | $0.318 | $23.28 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | sell | 43.11 | $0.540 | $23.28 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel before August?Yes | buy | 18.35 | $0.310 | $5.69 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 20.63 | $0.320 | $6.6 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel before August?Yes | buy | 205.81 | $0.311 | $64 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel before August?Yes | sell | 280.61 | $0.272 | $76.3 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | buy | 43.11 | $0.360 | $15.52 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel before August?Yes | sell | 72 | $0.216 | $15.52 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel before August?Yes | buy | 77.39 | $0.281 | $21.74 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?Yes | sell | 54.34 | $0.400 | $21.74 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel before August?Yes | buy | 21.83 | $0.180 | $3.93 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy before August?No | sell | 2.22 | $0.920 | $2.04 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Assad leaves Russia before 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.090 | $0.9 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.939 | $0.99 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel before August?Yes | buy | 91.44 | $0.180 | $16.46 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.062 | $2.48 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 9.07 | $0.330 | $2.99 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | sell | 43.95 | $0.160 | $7.03 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel before August?Yes | buy | 42.67 | $0.180 | $7.68 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.051 | $0.73 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 15.38 | $0.210 | $3.23 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 51.21 | $0.150 | $7.68 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel before August?Yes | buy | 31.94 | $0.180 | $5.75 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.230 | $5.75 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel before August?Yes | buy | 44.56 | $0.180 | $8.02 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Assad leaves Russia before 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel before August?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.180 | $5 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.075 | $3 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy before August?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.070 | $0.58 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August?Yes | sell | 26.66 | $0.110 | $2.93 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | buy | 17.76 | $0.170 | $3.02 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel before August?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.200 | $3 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy before August?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.240 | $6 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.150 | $4 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.050 | $1.75 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.410 | $8.2 | Jul 4, 2025 |