Latest trade
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 6:35 AM UTC.
Analytics
Gracious-Museum is down $209.64 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-25 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 25, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 6:35 AM UTC.
$12 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 45 markets; 94.0% were buys. They run from Dec 30, 2025 UTC to Oct 25, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | No | 28.12 | $0.823 | $20.74 | -$2.4 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in October?No | buy | 15.02 | $0.999 | $15 | 12h ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-25 17:44 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 06:35 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 06:35 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-25 17:44 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $151.1 and losing ones cost $101.62 across the latest 50 settled positions. 62% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $33.88 on “Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?” (Yes); the largest loss, $27.06 on “Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Oct 2026. It has traded 157 markets. Its open positions are worth $64.25 across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 18.6 |
| $0.914 |
| $15.83 |
| -$1.17 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,400 in October? | No | 15.02 | $0.999 | $14.78 | -$0.22 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 13.19 | $0.910 | $12.9 | +$0.9 |
| buy |
| 2.29 |
| $0.700 |
| $1.6 |
| 12h ago |
| Galatasaray vs. Bandirma BordoGalatasaray | buy | 2.81 | $0.810 | $2.28 | 12h ago |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?No | buy | 28.12 | $0.823 | $23.14 | 12h ago |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 18.6 | $0.914 | $17 | 12h ago |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 7.19 | $0.139 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 18.29 | $0.820 | $15 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.570 | $15 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.19 | $0.910 | $12 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 8.43 | $0.197 | $1.66 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will England win on 2026-07-15?Yes | buy | 45.96 | $0.362 | $16.66 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.370 | $2.5 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 3.9 | $0.770 | $3 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.520 | $8 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 3.87 | $0.310 | $1.2 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 24.07 | $0.054 | $1.3 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10.68 | $0.103 | $1.1 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.12 | $0.490 | $3 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.97 | $0.670 | $4 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 20.09 | $0.896 | $18 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?No | buy | 9.47 | $0.950 | $9 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?No | buy | 16.11 | $0.993 | $16 | Jun 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?No | buy | 18.28 | $0.930 | $17 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No | buy | 12.06 | $0.995 | $12 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 24.83 | $0.805 | $20 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 23.68 | $0.760 | $18 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
 Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?No | sell | 26.04 | $0.969 | $25.23 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 78.94 | $0.240 | $18.95 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 63.79 | $0.503 | $32.09 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 39.33 | $0.686 | $27 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.250 | $4 | Feb 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.110 | $1.5 | Feb 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?No | buy | 6.31 | $0.792 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Feb 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 36.14 | $0.830 | $30 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 51.61 | $0.930 | $48 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 31.29 | $0.831 | $26 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 27.85 | $0.790 | $22 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 32.51 | $0.892 | $29 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 78.95 | $0.570 | $45 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?No | buy | 26.04 | $0.960 | $25 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 88.17 | $0.930 | $82 | Jan 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?No | buy | 21.11 | $0.995 | $21 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?No | buy | 5.44 | $0.975 | $5.3 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.