Analytics
Yes is at 1.6%, down 7 points from 8.5% at 25 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC.
Across 19 price reads from 25 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC to 26 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC, the highest read was 25% on 25 Oct 2026, 07:00 UTC and the lowest 1.6% on 25 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC.
↓ $3,400 ranks seventh of the 15 outcomes in “What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?”. ↑ $4,100 leads at 42.5%; ↓ $3,900 is at 30%.
$15.02 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $129.02 since listing. The order book holds $1.11K, with a 2.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is 4... with 94 shares; the largest No position is accounttion with 114.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 26, 3:12 AM UTC
Hourly closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 25 Oct, 04:00 UTC – 26 Oct, 03:00 UTC, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct, 04:00 UTC | 8.5% |
| 26 Oct, 03:00 UTC | 1.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| accounttion | No | 114 |
| 4... | Yes | 94 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-xauusd-hit-in-october-2026
3 more outcomes, none above 0.4%.
| .Menthe |
| Yes |
| 15.02 |
| Gracious-Museum | No | 15.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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