Analytics
Yes is at 0.9%, down 17 points from 17.5% when the market opened on 26 Sep 2026.
Across the 28 daily closes on record from 26 Sep 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 18.5% on 27 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.6% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.3%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 1.9% on 28 Sep 2026.
↓ $3,600 ranks ninth of the 14 outcomes in “What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?”. ↑ $4,100 leads at 37.5%; ↓ $3,900 is at 36%.
$458.33 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $18.13K since listing. The order book holds $19.13K, with a 0.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is withoutmoonset with 3.1K shares; the largest No position is Avamax with 3.5K. Ten wallets hold 77.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 9 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 9:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 26 Sep 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | 17.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 1.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Avamax | No | 3.5K |
| withoutmoonset | Yes | 3.07K |
| botparadise | No | 3K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any 1-minute candle for Gold (XAUUSD) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-xauusd-hit-in-october-2026
2 more outcomes, none above 0.2%.
| lagex333 |
| No |
| 2.55K |
| Dimpled-Foal | Yes | 1.71K |
| bitcoinmafia | Yes | 1.5K |
| grasstoucher69 | Yes | 1.49K |
| pennedreadful | Yes | 835.7 |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | Yes | 828.44 |
| completedegen | No | 790 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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