Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 46.5%. Yes opened at 22% on 3 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 3 Jun 2026 to 7 Jul 2026, the highest close was 53.5% on 7 Jul 2026 and the lowest 21% on 4 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 35.5% on 14 Jun 2026. $376.86K traded over the market's life.
327 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 8, 3:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 3 Jun 2026 – 7 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jun 2026 | 22.0% |
| 7 Jul 2026 | 53.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| purplegatto | Yes | 13.89K |
| Melody626 | Yes | 7.5K |
| balthazar | Yes | 5.15K |
| bitterfish | Yes | 3.69K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-nation-to-reach-quarterfinals
| HuntersMethDealer | Yes | 3.42K |
| saintaphextwin | Yes | 3.29K |
| revela39 | Yes | 2.54K |
| The-Graape | Yes | 1.83K |
| Quiet Vector 2F63 | Yes | 1.82K |
| rugmaster2000 | Yes | 1.8K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
