
Resolved No on 29 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 26 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 26 Jun 2026 to 29 Jun 2026, the highest close was 6.5% on 26 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 29 Jun 2026. $218.6K traded over the market's life.
60 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 5:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 26 Jun 2026 – 29 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jun 2026 | 6.5% |
| 29 Jun 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 97.53K |
| alohaa | Yes | 30K |
| BigMackyG | Yes | 7.05K |
| vamnizar | Yes | 3.92K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 27 12:00 PM ET to June 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-june-27-june-29
| smalltimezzz | Yes | 3.78K |
| Baela | Yes | 2.9K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 2.81K |
| ElonSimp | Yes | 1.94K |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 1.72K |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 1.21K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page