Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | sell | 6.94 | $0.460 | $3.19 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.110 |
| $11 |
| Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 23-29?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 23-29?No | buy | 23.37 | $0.214 | $5 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 42.73 | $0.003 | $0.13 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 22.75 | $0.949 | $21.59 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.969 | $8.72 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.195 | $1.77 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | sell | 7.81 | $0.981 | $7.66 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.740 | $2.28 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.560 | $1.65 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Yes | buy | 3.49 | $0.860 | $3 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.510 | $3 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.420 | $0.6 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?Yes | sell | 15.45 | $0.380 | $5.87 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.236 | $2 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on October 25?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 6.93 | $0.433 | $3 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.075 | $1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.135 | $5 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.936 | $9.36 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 24?Yes | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on October 24?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on October 23?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 58°F or higher on October 23?Yes | buy | 16.77 | $0.060 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | sell | 3.67 | $0.730 | $2.68 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 7.65 | $0.654 | $5 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.029 | $0.15 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by October 31?No | sell | 53.12 | $0.010 | $0.53 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?Yes | sell | 9.93 | $0.460 | $4.57 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Yes | sell | 12.42 | $0.613 | $7.61 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?No | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Australia" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?No | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 9.68 | $0.620 | $6 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Australia" 8+ times during Australia PM events on October 20?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Oct 18, 2025 |