Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on October 25?

Resolved

No, settled Oct 25, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$5.4K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 25, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 25 Oct 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 51.5%. Yes opened at 41% on 24 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2025 to 25 Oct 2025, the highest close was 48.5% on 25 Oct 2025 and the lowest 41% on 24 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points up, to 48.5% on 25 Oct 2025. $5.38K traded over the market's life.

28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 4:34 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 24 Oct 2025 – 25 Oct 2025, chart shows 35%–55%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
24 Oct 2025	41.0%
25 Oct 2025	48.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.55K
Crimson Falcon C79A	Yes	252
yousefali	Yes	250
VibeTrader	Yes	207.02

10 of 28 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Oct '25. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.