Latest trade
Jul 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 10:34 AM UTC.
Analytics
Lighthearted-Optimal has made $9.23 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 29 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-09 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jul 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 10:34 AM UTC.
$3.76 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 29 markets; 62.0% were buys. They run from Mar 14, 2026 UTC to Jul 10, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 20 | $0.150 | $7.1 | +$4.1 |
 |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | +$7.59 | $7.59 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | $0 |
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 99.5 | $0.023 | $2.29 | Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-09 12:07 UTC
Polymarket public position response
7 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 10:34 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 10:34 UTC
polymarket positions
31 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-09 12:07 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $53.12 and losing ones cost $27.11 across 29 settled positions. 58.6% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $8.29 on “US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?” (Yes); the largest loss, $7.82 on “Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?” (Yes).
It first traded on 7 Mar 2026 and most recently on 10 Jul 2026, 107 days ago. It has traded 36 markets. Most of the volume is in uncategorized ($7.59). Its open positions are worth $17.54 across 7 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 20.33 |
| $0.246 |
| $3.43 |
| -$1.57 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 17.67 | $0.283 | $2.86 | -$2.14 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 58.82 | $0.170 | $2.74 | -$7.26 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 22.22 | $0.270 | $1 | -$5 |
 Anthropic acquired before 2027? | Yes | 21.43 | $0.140 | $0.39 | -$2.61 |
 Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026? | Yes | 37.74 | $0.132 | $0.02 | -$4.98 |
| sell |
| 6.77 |
| $0.790 |
| $5.35 |
| Jul 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 20.37 | $0.773 | $15.75 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.335 | $3.04 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | buy | 6.78 | $0.590 | $4 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.906 | $4.53 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
 US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.350 | $1.03 | Mar 29, 2026 UTC |
 Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Yes | buy | 8.14 | $0.430 | $3.5 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.420 | $6 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 15.17 | $0.580 | $8.8 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.170 | $4 | Mar 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 7.19 | $0.417 | $3 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | sell | 20.51 | $0.370 | $7.59 | Mar 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes | buy | 37.74 | $0.132 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.190 | $3 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 17.67 | $0.283 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 13.18 | $0.379 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | sell | 26.64 | $0.270 | $7.19 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
 Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.059 | $1.05 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.270 | $6 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?Yes | sell | 13.04 | $0.170 | $2.22 | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
 Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.290 | $3.22 | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 13.51 | $0.260 | $3.51 | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 273.89 | $0.033 | $9.04 | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.958 | $4.79 | Mar 17, 2026 UTC |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.032 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.170 | $3 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 23.08 | $0.390 | $9 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?Yes | buy | 13.04 | $0.230 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.390 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.330 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Anthropic acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.043 | $0.61 | Mar 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No | buy | 13.9 | $0.360 | $5 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.056 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.016 | $0.89 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 20.33 | $0.246 | $5 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 43.05 | $0.550 | $23.68 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 34.6 | $0.390 | $13.49 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.