Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.030 | $0.3 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 35 |
| $0.500 |
| $17.5 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No | sell | 33 | $0.962 | $31.73 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 34 | $0.967 | $32.88 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 39 | $0.860 | $33.54 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.170 | $5.95 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.980 | $29.4 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 44 | $0.730 | $32.12 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.730 | $32.12 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 17 | $0.942 | $16.01 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 34 | $0.940 | $31.96 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 81 | $0.080 | $6.48 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.043 | $1.2 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 31 | $0.973 | $30.16 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 31 | $0.973 | $30.16 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.173 | $12.11 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.181 | $2.17 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 76 | $0.026 | $1.98 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.028 | $1.32 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.975 | $28.28 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.410 | $15.17 | May 30, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.410 | $15.17 | May 30, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 9.68 | $0.560 | $5.42 | May 30, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 55 | $0.550 | $30.25 | May 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.470 | $3.76 | May 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 65 | $0.470 | $30.55 | May 29, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.440 | $3.52 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 24 | $0.975 | $23.4 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 36 | $0.780 | $28.08 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.790 | $28.44 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 2 | $0.947 | $1.89 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will Tommy Paul win the 2025 French Open?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.990 | $1.4 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.990 | $1.8 | May 6, 2025 |
 New Pope in 2025?No | sell | 95 | $0.015 | $1.43 | Apr 22, 2025 |
| New Pope in 2025?No | buy | 14 | $0.016 | $0.22 | Apr 22, 2025 |
 Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?No | buy | 15 | $0.988 | $14.82 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No | sell | 15 | $0.977 | $14.66 | Apr 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No | buy | 15 | $0.976 | $14.64 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 15 | $0.985 | $14.78 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 17 | $0.983 | $16.71 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?No | sell | 17 | $0.990 | $16.83 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Mariana Mortágua be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?No | sell | 17 | $0.995 | $16.92 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will Mariana Mortágua be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?No | buy | 17 | $0.995 | $16.92 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Nottingham Forest finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?No | buy | 17 | $0.959 | $16.3 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in April?No | buy | 18 | $0.948 | $17.06 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 17 | $0.992 | $16.86 | Apr 9, 2025 |
| Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 17 | $0.993 | $16.88 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.969 | $16.47 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 17 | $0.966 | $16.42 | Apr 7, 2025 |