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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.01 |
| $0.993 |
| $1 |
| Jan 4, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Tariff" 15+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?No | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 10–15%?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 21?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 20?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Nov 20, 2025 |
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Nov 19, 2025 |
Will between 370 and 379 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Nov 18, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Nov 14, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Job" 5+ times during Signing tonight?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Nov 8, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
US forces in Venezuela by October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands on October 30, 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be less than 0.5%?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETDown | buy | 1.9K | $0.500 | $950 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETDown | buy | 1.8K | $0.500 | $900 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETDown | buy | 2K | $0.500 | $1K | Oct 15, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETDown | buy | 66 | $0.520 | $34.32 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETUp | buy | 1.88K | $0.500 | $940 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETUp | buy | 2K | $0.500 | $1K | Oct 15, 2025 |