Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 28 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 28 Oct 2025 to 30 Oct 2025, the highest close was 7.1% on 29 Oct 2025 and the lowest 1.3% on 30 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.8 points down, to 1.3% on 30 Oct 2025. $159.46K traded over the market's life.
98 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 31, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 28 Oct 2025 – 30 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2025 | 6.5% |
| 30 Oct 2025 | 1.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 50.67K |
| -Shinigami- | Yes | 23.86K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 10.97K |
| thisismejohny | Yes | 5.3K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping on Thursday, October 30, 2025, KST. Any handshake recorded during that date (KST) will qualify. If no handshake occurs on October 30, 2025 (KST), or no meeting takes place by October 30, 2025, 11:59 PM KST, this market will resolve to “No Handshake.” Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact. If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Qualifying Requirements: The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person. Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens permitted). The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish. Non-qualifying examples: Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings. Any handshake too unclear to measure. Only photographic evidence exists without measurable duration. The primary resolution source will be publicly available video footage from credible media outlets or official recordings.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-trump-and-xi-shake-hands-on-thursday
| armand | Yes | 3.73K |
| Cookedtan | Yes | 3.24K |
| kexinkey | Yes | 2.54K |
| ovoovoppn | Yes | 2.34K |
| Battiboy111 | Yes | 2.06K |
| Fussy-Mailbox | Yes | 2K |
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