Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 87.59 | $0.999 | $87.5 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 74.8 |
| $0.998 |
| $74.66 |
| Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | buy | 61.69 | $0.999 | $61.63 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.66 | $0.999 | $2.66 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?No | buy | 43.82 | $0.999 | $43.78 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?No | buy | 46.53 | $0.998 | $46.44 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 48.53 | $0.999 | $48.48 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 32.6 | $0.995 | $32.44 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 48.57 | $0.998 | $48.47 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 21.78 | $0.998 | $21.74 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 81.1 | $0.996 | $80.78 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No | buy | 38.52 | $0.993 | $38.25 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 79.66 | $0.999 | $79.58 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?No | buy | 16.17 | $0.999 | $16.15 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 31.31 | $0.990 | $31 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No | buy | 65.7 | $0.999 | $65.63 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?No | buy | 109.75 | $0.996 | $109.31 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?No | buy | 76.31 | $0.995 | $75.93 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?No | buy | 19.15 | $0.998 | $19.11 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.41 | $0.993 | $10.34 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 97.08 | $0.966 | $93.78 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.97 | $0.954 | $10.47 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.07 | $0.996 | $7.04 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 82.52 | $0.991 | $81.76 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 12.68 | $0.995 | $12.62 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?No | buy | 102.67 | $0.992 | $101.85 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 37.33 | $0.970 | $36.21 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 36.35 | $0.999 | $36.31 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 170.58 | $0.640 | $109.17 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 110.56 | $0.993 | $109.79 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 59.63 | $0.054 | $3.22 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 148.16 | $0.977 | $144.75 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 8.65 | $0.993 | $8.59 | Jul 28, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | sell | 278.58 | $0.780 | $217.29 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 278.59 | $0.750 | $208.94 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?No | buy | 203.49 | $0.991 | $201.66 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 213.19 | $0.995 | $212.12 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 213.19 | $0.996 | $212.34 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 185.52 | $0.997 | $184.96 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 156.84 | $0.997 | $156.37 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Will Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 156.84 | $0.998 | $156.53 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 142.88 | $0.996 | $142.31 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 142.88 | $0.996 | $142.31 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 425–449 times June 6–13?No | buy | 4.88 | $0.998 | $4.87 | Jun 9, 2025 |
 Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 160.54 | $0.995 | $159.74 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 160.54 | $0.996 | $159.9 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 202.83 | $0.996 | $202.02 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Will SOCDEM win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 202.84 | $0.997 | $202.23 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will the Athletics win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 195.14 | $0.991 | $193.38 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will XRP dip to $1.90 in May?No | buy | 8.65 | $0.993 | $8.59 | May 31, 2025 |