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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Anduril IPO before 2027? | Yes | 375 | $0.170 | $22.5 | -$41.25 |
 Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?No | sell | 718 | $0.670 | $481.06 | Apr 27, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 1 |
| $0.120 |
| $0.19 |
| +$0.07 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 0.77 | $0.300 | $0.1 | -$0.13 |
| buy |
| 718 |
| $0.880 |
| $631.84 |
| Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?No | buy | 682 | $0.548 | $373.71 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?No | sell | 128 | $0.820 | $104.96 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?No | sell | 96 | $0.810 | $77.76 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 541 | $0.930 | $503.13 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Milena Moreira be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?No | sell | 115 | $0.050 | $5.75 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?No | buy | 224 | $0.810 | $181.44 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?No | buy | 438 | $0.710 | $310.98 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 27 | $0.910 | $24.57 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 111 | $0.900 | $99.9 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Milena Moreira be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?No | buy | 115 | $0.890 | $102.35 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 679 | $0.860 | $583.94 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 70 | $0.740 | $51.8 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 579 | $0.760 | $440.04 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 923 | $0.760 | $701.48 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?No | buy | 1.5K | $0.770 | $1.16K | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 70 | $0.580 | $40.6 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | sell | 634 | $0.910 | $576.94 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | sell | 269 | $0.910 | $244.79 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | sell | 651 | $0.880 | $572.88 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 651 | $0.880 | $572.88 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | buy | 903 | $0.890 | $803.67 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | sell | 93 | $0.630 | $58.59 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | sell | 241 | $0.630 | $151.83 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes | sell | 370 | $0.110 | $40.7 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | buy | 334 | $0.640 | $213.76 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes | sell | 114 | $0.240 | $27.36 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027?No | sell | 812 | $0.230 | $186.76 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will two people dissent the March Fed decision?No | buy | 653 | $0.460 | $300.38 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027?No | buy | 812 | $0.340 | $276.08 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 483 | $0.170 | $82.11 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.130 | $2.08 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | sell | 490 | $0.270 | $132.3 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 490 | $0.240 | $117.6 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.120 | $60 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico receive the most votes in the first round of the Democratic Senate primary in Texas?No | sell | 291 | $0.420 | $122.22 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will James Talarico receive the most votes in the first round of the Democratic Senate primary in Texas?No | sell | 61 | $0.420 | $25.62 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?No | sell | 60 | $0.760 | $45.6 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will James Talarico receive the most votes in the first round of the Democratic Senate primary in Texas?No | buy | 352 | $0.500 | $176 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027?No | sell | 61 | $0.860 | $52.46 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | sell | 352 | $0.880 | $309.76 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | sell | 405 | $0.880 | $356.4 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 818 | $0.870 | $711.66 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will "Sinners" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?No | sell | 89 | $0.400 | $35.6 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will "Sinners" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?No | buy | 89 | $0.560 | $49.84 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?No | buy | 60 | $0.780 | $46.8 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No | sell | 366 | $0.590 | $215.94 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No | buy | 366 | $0.570 | $208.62 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?No | sell | 221 | $0.780 | $172.38 | Feb 16, 2026 |