Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 58.8K | $0.169 | $1.32K | -$8.64K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 2.41K | $0.957 | $2.31K | Apr 6, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 4.62K |
| $0.436 |
| $300.16 |
| -$1.72K |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 71.45 | $0.100 | $2.18 | -$4.97 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 0.11 | $0.870 | $0.1 | +$0.01 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 5.06 | $0.170 | $0.08 | -$0.78 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 0.29 | $0.100 | $0.02 | -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 2.8K |
| $0.850 |
| $2.38K |
| Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?No | sell | 1K | $0.840 | $840 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.5K | $0.290 | $1.88K | Mar 16, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 731.04 | $0.600 | $438.62 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | sell | 2.5K | $0.969 | $2.42K | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | buy | 323.75 | $0.138 | $44.66 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 2.2K | $0.987 | $2.17K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 2.01K | $0.942 | $1.89K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 15.93K | $0.004 | $69.65 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 25K | $0.004 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | buy | 218.44 | $0.071 | $15.47 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.66K | $0.270 | $1.53K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.33K | $0.193 | $835.28 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.46K | $0.510 | $2.27K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.59K | $0.690 | $3.17K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.77K | $0.180 | $499.32 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.190 | $190 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 19.51K | $0.020 | $390.34 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.03K | $0.250 | $756.5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No | sell | 2.67K | $0.920 | $2.46K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.160 | $168 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.09K | $0.160 | $495.15 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 661.46 | $0.938 | $620.45 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.680 | $2.04K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 2K | $0.973 | $1.94K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 211.62 | $0.090 | $19.05 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 6, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 141 | $0.953 | $134.33 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 2.68K | $0.987 | $2.64K | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 442.4 | $0.090 | $39.82 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 2K | $0.983 | $1.97K | Feb 24, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 16.48 | $0.330 | $5.44 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 402.4 | $0.420 | $169.01 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 367 | $0.952 | $349.38 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?No | buy | 18 | $0.460 | $8.28 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.76 | $0.740 | $4.26 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.810 | $24.3 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Octra FDV above $200M one day after launch?No | buy | 10 | $0.520 | $5.2 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.82K | $0.170 | $309.1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 139.88 | $0.100 | $13.99 | Jan 18, 2026 |