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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1.15K | $0.006 | $11.5 | +$4.46 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | sell | 5 | $0.997 | $4.99 | May 2, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 5 |
| $0.085 |
| $4.16 |
| +$3.73 |
 Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | Yes | 7.55 | $0.342 | $1.02 | -$1.56 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.400 | $0.9 | -$3.1 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 10.15 | $0.128 | $0.4 | -$0.89 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 15.08 | $0.130 | $0.26 | -$1.7 |
| buy |
| 72.4 |
| $0.006 |
| $0.43 |
| Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?Yes | buy | 11.81 | $0.140 | $1.65 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Putin visit China by May 31?No | buy | 14 | $0.120 | $1.68 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Putin visit China by May 31?No | buy | 9 | $0.120 | $1.08 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | sell | 5 | $0.994 | $4.97 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.040 | $0.4 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.030 | $0.3 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.83 | $0.010 | $0.05 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 446.78 | $0.007 | $3.33 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.67 | $0.340 | $1.59 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETUp | buy | 1.82 | $0.510 | $0.93 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Israel EditionYes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.800 | $1.6 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | buy | 5 | $0.630 | $3.15 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 30.71 | $0.070 | $2.15 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.277 | $2.77 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.277 | $1.39 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.180 | $0.54 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: FebruaryNothing | buy | 3.53 | $0.640 | $2.26 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | sell | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | sell | 3.57 | $0.991 | $3.54 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.580 | $2.9 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyYes | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Israel EditionYes | buy | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Israel EditionYes | buy | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.840 | $3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 6.78 | $0.590 | $4 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on January 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on January 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 102.25 | $0.010 | $1 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on January 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETDown | buy | 3.88 | $0.500 | $1.94 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.120 | $1.25 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 11.99 | $0.146 | $1.75 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 13.07 | $0.153 | $2 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.480 | $1.5 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.640 | $4 | Jan 18, 2026 |