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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.080 | $8.8 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.489 |
| $9.78 |
| Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.159 | $1.59 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Yes | buy | 12.67 | $0.158 | $2 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Yes | buy | 7.71 | $0.156 | $1.2 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.009 | $1.8 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo visit another country first?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.040 | $20 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.017 | $6.8 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.020 | $0.2 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the UK state banquet on September 17?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.027 | $6.82 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during the UK state banquet on September 17?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.300 | $12 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Pandemic" during September press conference?No | buy | 30 | $0.290 | $8.7 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Anchored" 3+ times during September press conference?No | buy | 40 | $0.310 | $12.4 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.018 | $4.5 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?No | buy | 75 | $0.140 | $10.5 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.066 | $5.28 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.065 | $6.5 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 404.79 | $0.006 | $2.43 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.170 | $4.25 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 19.19 | $0.590 | $11.32 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.029 | $2.9 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in August?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.026 | $7.8 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.063 | $6.29 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.056 | $0.56 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | buy | 500 | $0.058 | $29 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo visit another country first?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.146 | $13.1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo visit another country first?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.136 | $10.86 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo visit another country first?Yes | buy | 14.76 | $0.123 | $1.82 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.170 | $34 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "OpenAI" during his AI speech on July 23?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.570 | $8.55 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Inflation" during his AI speech on July 23?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.300 | $9 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Inflation" during his AI speech on July 23?Yes | buy | 13.69 | $0.290 | $3.97 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?No | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jul 22, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.180 | $5.4 | Jul 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Fuck" this week?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.045 | $4.05 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Fuck" this week?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.045 | $5.4 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.880 | $26.4 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?No | buy | 100 | $0.034 | $3.4 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will Rutte say "Trump" during NATO Public Forum Address on June 24?No | buy | 30 | $0.220 | $6.6 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Another U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 290 | $0.012 | $3.48 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.380 | $11.4 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | sell | 20 | $0.620 | $12.4 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.5% and 45.9% on June 20?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.018 | $7.26 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.240 | $9.6 | Jun 12, 2025 |
 Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 24.67 | $0.192 | $4.74 | Jun 10, 2025 |