Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 58% on 19 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 19 Jul 2025 to 24 Jul 2025, the highest close was 100% on 24 Jul 2025 and the lowest 52.5% on 21 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 43 points up, to 100% on 24 Jul 2025. $12.36K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 25, 12:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 19 Jul 2025 – 24 Jul 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2025 | 58.0% |
| 24 Jul 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Royal Beacon 7E26 | No | 1K |
| ScopeX | No | 1K |
| Swift Orbit 982C | No | 760 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 655 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a speech about Artificial Intelligence on July 23 (see https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-15/trump-set-to-outline-ai-priorities-in-speech-asserting-us-edge). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the scheduled event about AI. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the video of the event.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-his-ai-speech-on-july-23
| Royal Maven 5A52 | No | 625 |
| chesscom | No | 426.33 |
| singularity7 | No | 389.4 |
| Indigo Pulse 2DC5 | No | 375 |
| Solar Orbit 235E | No | 240 |
| Skankfest | No | 219.61 |
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