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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 12K | $0.672 | $4.02K | -$4.05K |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.670 | $134 | 4d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 6.43K |
| $0.812 |
| $3.71K |
| -$1.52K |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 23.46K | $0.673 | $3.4K | -$12.4K |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 8.98K | $0.234 | $1.36K | -$736.86 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | No | 910 | $0.475 | $903.63 | +$471.38 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 3.82K | $0.926 | $822.18 | -$2.72K |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 1.67K | $0.300 | $807.82 | +$308.14 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 489.99 | $0.850 | $433.64 | +$17.15 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | No | 3.84K | $0.888 | $320.7 | -$3.09K |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 2K | $0.229 | $270 | -$187.61 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 5.96K | $0.285 | $268.06 | -$1.43K |
| Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.670 | $170 | +$36 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 696.24 | $0.200 | $163.62 | +$24.43 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 723.15 | $0.236 | $148.25 | -$22.42 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | Yes | 180.86 | $0.600 | $123.89 | +$15.37 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | Yes | 157.18 | $0.670 | $113.96 | +$8.64 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 638.01 | $0.436 | $86.13 | -$191.93 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 1.26K | $0.177 | $59.9 | -$163.74 |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 3.58K | $0.010 | $16.11 | -$19.42 |
 Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? | Yes | 18.84 | $0.280 | $11.59 | +$6.31 |
 Trump calls Nicki Minaj hot again in 2026? | No | 11.64 | $0.764 | $10.77 | +$1.87 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 2.35K | $0.006 | $8.22 | -$5.87 |
| Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1.04K | $0.005 | $3.62 | -$1.55 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.38K | $0.005 | $0.69 | -$6.2 |
| buy |
| 3.32K |
| $0.180 |
| $597.43 |
| 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes | buy | 180.86 | $0.600 | $108.52 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 1.48K | $0.300 | $444.57 | 6d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 2.89K | $0.673 | $1.95K | 16d ago |
 UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)Gregory Rodrigues | buy | 1.07K | $0.935 | $1K | 17d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)Gregory Rodrigues | buy | 1.16K | $0.430 | $500 | 17d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)Gregory Rodrigues | buy | 128.21 | $0.390 | $50 | 17d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)Gregory Rodrigues | buy | 256.41 | $0.390 | $100 | 17d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)Gregory Rodrigues | buy | 116.05 | $0.431 | $50 | 17d ago |
 Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsIron Wing | buy | 1.75K | $0.390 | $683.69 | 19d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.9K | $0.053 | $101.07 | 19d ago |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsIron Wing | buy | 4.88K | $0.410 | $2K | 19d ago |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsIron Wing | buy | 5.49K | $0.410 | $2.25K | 19d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 14?Yes | buy | 1.6K | $0.982 | $1.57K | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 14?Yes | buy | 3.48K | $0.972 | $3.38K | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?No | buy | 3.8K | $0.001 | $3.8 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?No | buy | 4.23K | $0.001 | $4.23 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?No | buy | 229.51 | $0.001 | $0.23 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Yes | buy | 3.45K | $0.877 | $3.02K | 27d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August?Yes | buy | 258 | $0.680 | $175.39 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | sell | 140 | $0.820 | $114.8 | 29d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.910 | $4.55K | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.02K | $0.090 | $181.95 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 892.04 | $0.350 | $312.21 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.52 | $0.280 | $23.39 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 11?No | buy | 70 | $0.960 | $67.2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?No | buy | 240 | $0.900 | $216 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed have between 10 and 29 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?No | buy | 58.77 | $0.969 | $56.92 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?No | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?No | buy | 15 | $0.940 | $14.1 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?No | buy | 4.1K | $0.929 | $3.81K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?No | buy | 2.22K | $0.880 | $1.95K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 5.04K | $0.780 | $3.93K | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 11?No | buy | 393.84 | $0.970 | $382.02 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.47K | $0.730 | $1.07K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.21K | $0.574 | $1.84K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.09K | $0.590 | $642.46 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 33.61 | $0.750 | $25.21 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 298.68 | $0.590 | $176.22 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.44K | $0.764 | $1.1K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 2.18K | $0.840 | $1.83K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 169.78 | $0.150 | $25.47 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 8K | $0.620 | $4.96K | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 561.85 | $0.088 | $49.39 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.507 | $15.2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.4K | $0.084 | $285.37 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.94K | $0.087 | $256.14 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.03K | $0.094 | $190.79 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 487.96 | $0.162 | $79.19 | Aug 7, 2026 |