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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.52 | $0.956 | $0.51 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 41 | $0.770 | $31.57 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 35 |
| $0.110 |
| $3.85 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.800 | $35.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.946 | $31.22 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 38 | $0.920 | $34.96 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 38 | $0.920 | $34.96 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 92 | $0.380 | $34.96 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.790 | $7.9 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.780 | $24.18 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.320 | $8.32 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 32 | $0.160 | $5.12 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 32 | $0.230 | $7.36 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.938 | $25.33 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.06 | $0.350 | $2.47 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 61.31 | $0.019 | $1.16 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 43 | $0.730 | $31.39 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 43 | $0.730 | $31.39 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 51 | $0.610 | $31.11 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 51 | $0.610 | $31.11 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 27 | $0.934 | $25.22 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 27 | $0.933 | $25.19 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 2.34 | $0.956 | $2.24 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 32 | $0.985 | $31.52 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.460 | $18.4 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 47 | $0.700 | $32.9 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | sell | 34 | $0.957 | $32.54 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 34 | $0.955 | $32.47 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.310 | $2.48 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 49 | $0.620 | $30.38 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 49 | $0.530 | $25.97 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 27 | $0.956 | $25.81 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.029 | $1.02 | May 31, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 33 | $0.774 | $25.54 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 59 | $0.430 | $25.37 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.319 | $21.37 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 32 | $0.932 | $29.82 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 32 | $0.932 | $29.82 | May 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 17.25 | $0.370 | $6.38 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.523 | $32.43 | May 23, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 33 | $0.956 | $31.55 | May 23, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 33 | $0.960 | $31.68 | May 21, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 33 | $0.956 | $31.55 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 42 | $0.310 | $13.02 | May 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 32 | $0.946 | $30.27 | May 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 31 | $0.580 | $17.98 | May 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 24.11 | $0.570 | $13.74 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.984 | $1.97 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 3 | $0.985 | $2.96 | May 18, 2026 |