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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New "Stranger Things" episode released by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 20.62 | $0.970 | $1.24 | -$18.76 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 11.27 | $0.710 | $8 | 17d ago |
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| sell |
| 15.47 |
| $0.830 |
| $12.84 |
| 17d ago |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 15.48 | $0.840 | $13 | 17d ago |
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No | sell | 8.53 | $0.870 | $7.42 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $435 in July?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 20.62 | $0.970 | $20 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.996 | $10 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | sell | 21.47 | $0.977 | $20.98 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No | buy | 21.47 | $0.978 | $21 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No | buy | 8.54 | $0.820 | $7 | May 26, 2026 |
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?Yes | buy | 9.88 | $0.810 | $8 | May 26, 2026 |
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes | sell | 51.86 | $0.600 | $31.12 | May 26, 2026 |
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?Yes | buy | 51.87 | $0.610 | $31.64 | May 26, 2026 |
Will President Trump sign 4 pieces of legislation into law in March?Yes | buy | 9.33 | $0.965 | $9 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 30.25 | $0.979 | $29.61 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 30.26 | $0.979 | $29.62 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?No | buy | 11.46 | $0.960 | $11 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?No | sell | 30.43 | $0.930 | $28.3 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?No | buy | 30.43 | $0.930 | $28.3 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in February?No | buy | 12.33 | $0.811 | $10 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | sell | 36.62 | $0.530 | $19.41 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 36.63 | $0.540 | $19.78 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 18.89 | $0.953 | $18 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 16.47 | $0.950 | $15.65 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 16.48 | $0.960 | $15.82 | Jan 20, 2026 |
Yoon out of custody in 2025?No | buy | 22.13 | $0.994 | $22 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | sell | 16.84 | $0.955 | $16.08 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No | buy | 16.84 | $0.963 | $16.22 | Dec 24, 2025 |
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 16.68 | $0.969 | $16.16 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 16.68 | $0.979 | $16.33 | Nov 27, 2025 |
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by October 31?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.997 | $20 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 26.02 | $0.963 | $25.06 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 26.03 | $0.964 | $25.09 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 11.27 | $0.976 | $11 | Sep 26, 2025 |
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 26.81 | $0.898 | $24.08 | Sep 26, 2025 |
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 26.81 | $0.902 | $24.18 | Sep 26, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 12.01 | $0.999 | $12 | Aug 28, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 27.8 | $0.984 | $27.36 | Aug 28, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 27.81 | $0.986 | $27.42 | Aug 28, 2025 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before August?No | buy | 8.83 | $0.997 | $8.8 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?No | sell | 32.23 | $0.963 | $31.05 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?No | buy | 32.24 | $0.985 | $31.74 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will a dozen eggs be between $4.25-4.5 in June?No | buy | 5.18 | $0.966 | $5 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | sell | 27.15 | $0.983 | $26.69 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | buy | 27.15 | $0.983 | $26.69 | Jun 25, 2025 |
Ethereum all time high in May?No | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | May 21, 2025 |
Will 'Superman' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 20.44 | $0.910 | $18.6 | May 21, 2025 |
Will 'Superman' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 20.45 | $0.920 | $18.81 | May 21, 2025 |
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on April 30?No | buy | 18.09 | $0.995 | $18 | Apr 20, 2025 |