Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 15% on 22 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 165 daily closes on record from 22 Jul 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 16% on 10 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 9% on 3 Oct 2025. $156.05K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 4:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 165 points, 22 Jul 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2025 | 15.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/yoon-out-of-custody-in-2025
| Yes |
| 738.47 |
| ashdawn | Yes | 505 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 469 |
| mdoxun | Yes | 353.09 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 200 |
| moojabi1986 | Yes | 200 |
| TTX117 | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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