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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 0.66 | $0.410 | $0.62 | +$0.35 |
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 1.79 | $0.540 | $0.97 | May 4, 2026 |
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| No |
| 0.11 |
| $0.470 |
| $0.05 |
| -$0 |
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 0.11 | $0.460 | $0.05 | -$0 |
| buy |
| 1.79 |
| $0.550 |
| $0.98 |
| May 4, 2026 |
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 5.5 | $0.260 | $1.43 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| sell | 1.6 | $0.717 | $1.15 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| sell | 3.6 | $0.567 | $2.04 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.760 | $0.95 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.740 | $2.22 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No | sell | 3.6 | $0.753 | $2.71 | Apr 25, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 4 | $0.620 | $2.48 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 4.09 | $0.300 | $1.23 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?No | sell | 5.4 | $0.550 | $2.97 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.390 | $2.34 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.350 | $2.1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | sell | 6 | $0.390 | $2.34 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 1.36 | $0.280 | $0.38 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | sell | 11 | $0.090 | $0.99 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.084 | $1.09 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| sell | 7 | $0.271 | $1.9 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No | sell | 1 | $0.770 | $0.77 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Nottingham Forest reach the UEFA Europa League final?No | sell | 4 | $0.610 | $2.44 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Alex Zdan be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.440 | $2.64 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?Yes | sell | 5.25 | $0.485 | $2.55 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Richard Tabor be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?No | sell | 4.4 | $0.550 | $2.42 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 4 | $0.630 | $2.52 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.670 | $2.68 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Braga reach the UEFA Europa League final?No | sell | 4 | $0.530 | $2.12 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Monaco finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?No | sell | 2.88 | $0.750 | $2.16 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No | sell | 6 | $0.350 | $2.1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Strasbourg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?No | sell | 1.92 | $0.767 | $1.47 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.780 | $1.56 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | sell | 2 | $0.892 | $1.78 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.805 | $0.04 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?No | sell | 0.25 | $0.851 | $0.21 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?No | sell | 0.5 | $0.849 | $0.42 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will two people dissent the April Fed decision?No | sell | 0.5 | $0.820 | $0.41 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 3.04 | $0.770 | $2.34 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.885 | $0.89 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.885 | $1.11 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.640 | $1.92 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.11 | $0.460 | $2.35 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?No | sell | 2.5 | $0.821 | $2.05 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?No | buy | 2.79 | $0.829 | $2.31 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No | buy | 6.16 | $0.380 | $2.34 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.350 | $2.1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.470 | $2.4 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.660 | $2.01 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| buy | 3.82 | $0.629 | $2.4 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.17 | $0.360 | $2.22 | Apr 25, 2026 |