Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 13%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 60 daily closes on record from 10 Mar 2026 to 3 Jun 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 87% on 3 Jun 2026 and the lowest 23% on 15 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 23% on 15 May 2026. $14.26K traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 4, 3:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 60 points, 10 Mar 2026 – 3 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 46.5% |
| 3 Jun 2026 | 87.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.48K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 433.79 |
| Trenchstar | Yes | 103.51 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/new-jersey-republican-senate-primary-winner
| Yes |
| 100 |
| littlebird | Yes | 85 |
| GUINESS123 | Yes | 79 |
| iovolevofufu | Yes | 75 |
| jennylulu2016 | Yes | 62 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| Oddsby | Yes | 37 |
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