Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31? | No | 109.89 | $0.910 | $106.98 | +$6.98 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 28.2 | $0.790 | $22.28 | 4h ago |
|
| No |
| 113.92 |
| $0.790 |
| $101.39 |
| +$11.39 |
 Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by September 30? | No | 63.29 | $0.790 | $61.71 | +$11.71 |
 Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by September 30? | No | 80 | $0.750 | $58.8 | -$1.2 |
 Will $ANSEM reach $0.8 before 2027? | No | 45.14 | $0.554 | $37.92 | +$12.92 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | No | 54.9 | $0.683 | $36.51 | -$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 36.14 | $0.830 | $30.9 | +$0.9 |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 28.57 | $0.700 | $27.01 | +$7.01 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 26.8 | $0.746 | $23.72 | +$3.72 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | Yes | 133.33 | $0.150 | $16.67 | -$3.33 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? | No | 14.18 | $0.720 | $13.11 | +$2.91 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20.13 | $0.840 | $12.98 | -$3.92 |
 Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $115B by September 30? | No | 19.58 | $0.511 | $11.06 | +$1.06 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.260 | $6.35 | -$3.65 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | Yes | 60.24 | $0.830 | $5.12 | -$44.88 |
 Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | No | 1.15 | $0.866 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 47.85 | $0.209 | $0.96 | -$9.04 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 116.63 | $0.086 | $0.7 | -$9.3 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $0.51 | -$0.49 |
 Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.270 | $0.39 | -$0.61 |
 Will Bad Bunny be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 6.03 | $0.050 | $0.33 | +$0.03 |
| sell |
| 84.57 |
| $0.790 |
| $66.81 |
| 4h ago |
 Will LAPTOP launch on Base?Yes | sell | 278.08 | $0.999 | $277.71 | 15h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 112.77 | $0.798 | $90 | 16h ago |
| Will LAPTOP launch on Base?Yes | buy | 360.03 | $0.972 | $350 | 1d ago |
| Will LAPTOP launch on Base?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.971 | $1K | 1d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 69.94 | $0.551 | $38.57 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 69.95 | $0.715 | $50 | 5d ago |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 67.42 | $0.653 | $44.03 | 6d ago |
 Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?SD | sell | 60.24 | $0.767 | $46.18 | 6d ago |
 Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 62.59 | $0.773 | $48.41 | 6d ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | sell | 54.34 | $0.943 | $51.24 | 6d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 155.73 | $0.684 | $106.59 | 6d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 110.32 | $0.981 | $108.22 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 627.7 | $0.068 | $42.68 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 515.99 | $0.903 | $466.14 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 627.7 | $0.956 | $600 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 516 | $0.969 | $500 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 576.14 | $0.870 | $501.24 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 576.15 | $0.868 | $500 | 6d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 155.73 | $0.640 | $99.67 | 6d ago |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 501 | $0.998 | $500 | 7d ago |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.050 | $3 | 8d ago |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 65.79 | $0.760 | $50 | 8d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 311.47 | $0.642 | $200 | 8d ago |
| Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by September 30?No | buy | 63.29 | $0.790 | $50 | 8d ago |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $115B by September 30?No | buy | 19.58 | $0.511 | $10 | 8d ago |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by September 30?No | buy | 80 | $0.750 | $60 | 8d ago |
| Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $11B by September 30?No | buy | 113.92 | $0.790 | $90 | 8d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 60.38 | $0.680 | $41.06 | 8d ago |
 Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?Yes | buy | 419.4 | $0.954 | $400 | 8d ago |
| Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by August 31?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.047 | $1.66 | 8d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 47.08 | $0.226 | $10.64 | 8d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 81.27 | $0.740 | $60.14 | 8d ago |
 Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $15B by August 31?No | buy | 49.45 | $0.910 | $45 | 9d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.470 | $19.58 | 9d ago |
| Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by August 31?No | buy | 306.01 | $0.980 | $300 | 10d ago |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August?No | sell | 59.52 | $0.998 | $59.4 | 10d ago |
 Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by August 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | 10d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 47.09 | $0.425 | $20 | 11d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 143.73 | $0.673 | $96.72 | 11d ago |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by August 31?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.880 | $80 | 11d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | 11d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 36.16 | $0.720 | $26.04 | 11d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?No | sell | 13.6 | $0.800 | $10.88 | 11d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 54.95 | $0.910 | $50 | 11d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 143.73 | $0.696 | $100 | 11d ago |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 62.59 | $0.799 | $50 | 12d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 64.1 | $0.996 | $63.84 | 12d ago |
 Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by August 31?No | sell | 26.56 | $0.970 | $25.76 | 12d ago |