Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 717.52 | $0.160 | $577.6 | +$462.85 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.027 | $30 | Aug 4, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 333.33 |
| $0.060 |
| $12.17 |
| -$7.83 |
| sell |
| 206.38 |
| $0.986 |
| $203.49 |
| Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 184.14 | $0.358 | $66 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes | sell | 547.55 | $0.126 | $68.74 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 206.38 | $0.470 | $97 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 689.36 | $0.140 | $96.51 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 1.41K | $0.160 | $225 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 268.88 | $0.750 | $201.66 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | sell | 752.35 | $0.032 | $23.98 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 96.47 | $0.850 | $82 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 255.88 | $0.320 | $81.82 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 255.88 | $0.340 | $87 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 11?Yes | buy | 111.32 | $0.225 | $25 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 12?Yes | buy | 255.77 | $0.192 | $49.04 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 149.88 | $0.997 | $149.43 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes | buy | 309.46 | $0.162 | $50 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 243.9 | $0.160 | $39.02 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.210 | $50 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.120 | $120 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | sell | 198.41 | $0.950 | $188.49 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 6.19 | $0.808 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 172.41 | $0.580 | $100 | May 27, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 149.89 | $0.267 | $40 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 198.41 | $0.630 | $125 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | sell | 337.12 | $0.360 | $121.36 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.3K | $0.040 | $93 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.044 | $4.4 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 272 | $0.038 | $10.47 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 337.13 | $0.303 | $102 | May 6, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | buy | 512.5 | $0.080 | $41 | May 5, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.030 | $21 | May 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.270 | $300 | May 5, 2026 |
 QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?No | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | May 3, 2026 |
| QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.038 | $20 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 589.11 | $0.289 | $170.1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 238.09 | $0.980 | $233.45 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No | sell | 163.04 | $0.993 | $161.96 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 238.1 | $0.840 | $200 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No | buy | 163.04 | $0.920 | $150 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | sell | 928.57 | $0.011 | $10.2 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.060 | $30 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Tucker Carlson federally charged?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.060 | $20 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Leviathan Field by April 30?Yes | buy | 205.9 | $0.049 | $10 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 561.94 | $0.984 | $552.98 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | buy | 428.57 | $0.070 | $30 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 589.11 | $0.034 | $20 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 561.94 | $0.178 | $100 | Apr 21, 2026 |