Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 28.5% on 28 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 28 Apr 2026 to 1 Jun 2026, the highest close was 28.5% on 28 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 7% on 29 Apr 2026. $752.25K traded over the market's life.
89 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 2, 7:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 28 Apr 2026 – 1 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Apr 2026 | 28.5% |
| 1 Jun 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rikibukimak | Yes | 3.54K |
| DawsonQuest | Yes | 2.38K |
| papiliotempestae | Yes | 2.1K |
| hongliu666 | Yes | 2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pete-hegseth-out-as-secretary-of-defense-by-may-31
| lineth | Yes | 1.52K |
| 8387 | Yes | 1.5K |
| Brave-Actor | Yes | 1K |
| Disgusting-Flume | Yes | 909.09 |
| Deficient-Pamphlet | Yes | 874.73 |
| bugseeker | Yes | 853.33 |
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