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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No | sell | 759 | $0.590 | $447.81 | 21d ago |
|
| sell |
| 40 |
| $0.590 |
| $23.6 |
| 21d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.790 | $632 | 24d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 535 | $0.207 | $110.86 | 25d ago |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | sell | 290 | $0.520 | $150.8 | 26d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | sell | 800 | $0.223 | $178.45 | 27d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 800 | $0.310 | $247.93 | 27d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 800 | $0.169 | $135.52 | 28d ago |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 800 | $0.770 | $616 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.180 | $144 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 800 | $0.180 | $144 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.190 | $152 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.270 | $270 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.376 | $376 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 1K | $0.750 | $750.09 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 0.78 | $0.670 | $0.52 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?No | sell | 1K | $0.177 | $176.56 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 1K | $0.413 | $413.41 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | sell | 1K | $0.510 | $510 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.330 | $330 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 1K | $0.850 | $850 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 159 | $0.719 | $114.34 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes | sell | 131 | $0.435 | $56.99 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes | sell | 450 | $0.430 | $193.5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.464 | $464.37 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | sell | 1K | $0.365 | $364.96 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.400 | $240 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.411 | $246.35 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?No | sell | 600 | $0.285 | $170.76 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.256 | $153.6 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.256 | $307.2 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.181 | $108.67 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.268 | $160.67 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | sell | 1.2K | $0.419 | $502.21 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | sell | 600 | $0.463 | $277.95 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 217.82 | $0.480 | $104.55 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | sell | 137 | $0.531 | $72.71 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.730 | $0.73 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Yes | sell | 549 | $0.784 | $430.43 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.873 | $523.8 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.338 | $202.8 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 600 | $0.720 | $432 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | sell | 600 | $0.830 | $498 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 600 | $0.861 | $516.63 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 600 | $0.159 | $95.6 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 600 | $0.793 | $475.8 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 0.88 | $0.201 | $0.18 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 0.53 | $0.690 | $0.37 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 0.83 | $0.640 | $0.53 | Jul 16, 2026 |