Latest trade
Sep 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:15 PM UTC.
Analytics
Squiggly-Guidance is down $317.8 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 22 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 3, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:15 PM UTC.
$9.8 median trade
Its latest 33 trades covered 27 markets; 90.9% were buys. They run from Feb 17, 2026 UTC to Sep 3, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 273.32 | $0.560 | $56.03 | -$97.03 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 273.32 | $0.560 | $153.06 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-16 19:23 UTC
Polymarket public position response
3 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 15:15 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
33 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 15:15 UTC
polymarket positions
24 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-16 19:23 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $119.87 and losing ones cost $417.67 across 22 settled positions. 22.7% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $53.58 on “Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?” (No); the largest loss, $110 on “Will Mercedes double podium at the 2026 Chinese Grand Prix?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 3 Sep 2026. It has traded 27 markets. Its open positions are worth $62.1 across 3 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 178.57 |
| $0.028 |
| $3.48 |
| -$1.52 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 109.89 | $0.091 | $2.58 | -$7.42 |
| buy |
| 151.52 |
| $0.660 |
| $100 |
| Jun 20, 2026 UTC |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 109.89 | $0.091 | $10 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Neymar play in the World Cup?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-05?No | buy | 14.63 | $0.670 | $9.8 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 621.61 | $0.016 | $10 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.064 | $2 | Mar 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?No | buy | 63.58 | $0.157 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Mercedes double podium at the 2026 Chinese Grand Prix?No | buy | 199.3 | $0.502 | $100 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mercedes double podium at the 2026 Chinese Grand Prix?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No | buy | 51.64 | $0.194 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?No | buy | 37.09 | $0.270 | $10 | Mar 14, 2026 UTC |
 No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 526.85 | $0.190 | $100 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | sell | 7.95 | $0.640 | $5.09 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 7.84 | $0.620 | $4.86 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETDown | buy | 18.04 | $0.272 | $4.9 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 60.3 | $0.166 | $10 | Mar 13, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 16.18 | $0.309 | $5 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | buy | 84.5 | $0.059 | $5 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by March 13?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.028 | $5 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.003 | $5 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.009 | $5 | Mar 9, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.025 | $5 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.025 | $10 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No | buy | 227.39 | $0.440 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETDown | sell | 15.44 | $0.420 | $6.48 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETDown | buy | 15.26 | $0.320 | $4.88 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETUp | sell | 29.04 | $0.150 | $4.34 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETUp | buy | 28.67 | $0.340 | $9.75 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETDown | buy | 14.34 | $0.340 | $4.87 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETUp | buy | 42.8 | $0.230 | $9.84 | Feb 17, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.