No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 19, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Resolved

Settled

Mar 19, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 19 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 24 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 86 daily closes on record from 24 Dec 2025 to 19 Mar 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 24 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 19 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 12% on 25 Dec 2025.

247 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 20, 12:25 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 86 points, 24 Dec 2025 – 19 Mar 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
24 Dec 2025	50.5%
19 Mar 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	72.54K
Honored-Necktie	Yes	7.97K
Mrdings	Yes	3.72K

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its March 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for March 16-17, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.