Latest trade
Sep 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 2:26 AM UTC.
Analytics
ARG-611 is down $2.88 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 26, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 16, 2:26 AM UTC.
$1.46 median trade
Its latest 400 trades covered 253 markets; 68.8% were buys. They run from Nov 26, 2024 UTC to Sep 26, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.910 | $18.73 | +$0.53 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | 19d ago |
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 00:07 UTC
Polymarket public position response
9 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-16 02:26 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
400 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-16 02:26 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-04 06:01 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Essential
Winning positions brought in $51.23 and losing ones cost $75.81 across the latest 50 settled positions. 60% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $5.95 on “Israel closes its airspace by August 31?” (No); the largest loss, $14.4 on “Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?” (No).
It first traded on 19 Nov 2024 and most recently on 26 Sep 2026. It has traded 318 markets. Its open positions are worth $63.27 across 9 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 10 |
| $0.680 |
| $9.45 |
| +$2.65 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 10 | $0.700 | $9.25 | +$2.25 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 10 | $0.885 | $7.85 | -$1 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 15 | $0.769 | $5.24 | -$6.3 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 10 | $0.700 | $4.55 | -$2.45 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 5 | $0.740 | $4.33 | +$0.63 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.760 | $3.6 | -$0.2 |
 Will India have an Ebola case in 2026? | Yes | 2.04 | $0.490 | $0.28 | -$0.72 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes| sell |
| 1 |
| $0.933 |
| $0.93 |
| 21d ago |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | 24d ago |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | 24d ago |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | 26d ago |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by September 30?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | 26d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.690 | $3.45 | 26d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | 26d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.008 | $0.16 | 26d ago |
| Will Jio Platforms IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jio Platforms IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | Sep 6, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Sep 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in September?No | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.420 | $2.1 | Sep 1, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.440 | $4.4 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | Aug 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jio Platforms IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Jio Platforms IPO by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.660 | $3.3 | Aug 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.890 | $4.45 | Aug 22, 2026 UTC |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Aug 22, 2026 UTC |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Aug 22, 2026 UTC |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | Aug 21, 2026 UTC |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | sell | 14.99 | $0.995 | $14.92 | Aug 16, 2026 UTC |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.980 | $98 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22?No | buy | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | Aug 15, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.180 | $1.08 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | sell | 1 | $0.760 | $0.76 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | Aug 11, 2026 UTC |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | sell | 1 | $0.730 | $0.73 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | sell | 1 | $0.600 | $0.6 | Aug 10, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.858 | $4.29 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Aug 8, 2026 UTC |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31?No | buy | 9 | $0.120 | $1.08 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
 Imran Khan released from prison by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Aug 5, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | Aug 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Aug 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Jul 25, 2026 UTC |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.440 | $4.4 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.