Analytics
Yes is at 8.5%, down 28 points from 36.5% when the market opened on 7 Jul 2026.
Across the 112 daily closes on record from 7 Jul 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52.5% on 1 Aug 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 11 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 9%; a month before, 8.5%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 17% on 6 Aug 2026.
$3.51K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.27K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 189 trades, $140.42 bought Yes and $795.97 bought No.
The largest Yes position is SmirksenSOB with 308 shares; the largest No position is archaic with 643. Ten wallets hold 91.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 112 points, 7 Jul 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jul 2026 | 36.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 8.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| archaic | No | 643.27 |
| SmirksenSOB | Yes | 308.18 |
| PolyJaguar | Yes | 158 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if former Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan is released from prison by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, Imran Khan will be considered to have been released from prison only if he is not physically held in any Pakistani detention facility, including any prison, remand facility, or other place of formal custody, for a continuous period of at least 24 hours. A temporary release for medical treatment, a release on bail that is contingent on return to custody, or a release from one case while remaining in custody under another will not qualify. Release under house arrest, with travel restrictions, or with other non-custodial conditions following release will not prevent this market from resolving to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the State of Pakistan or Imran Khan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/imran-khan-released-from-prison-by-december-31-2026-20260706202533140
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 145.09 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 141.25 |
| Golden Signal D11F | No | 116.95 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | Yes | 50.55 |
| Elias.Thornwell | No | 47.66 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 35 |
| FrozenTomato | No | 22.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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