Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 196.82 | $0.340 | $66.92 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 25 |
| $0.190 |
| $4.75 |
| Jul 11, 2025 |
| US strikes Yemen before August?Yes | buy | 263.79 | $0.190 | $50.12 | Jul 11, 2025 |
 Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?Yes | sell | 166.88 | $0.560 | $93.45 | May 9, 2025 |
| Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?Yes | buy | 166.88 | $0.430 | $71.76 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Israel annex Gazan territory before July?Yes | buy | 589 | $0.120 | $70.68 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad SchimelSchimel | buy | 428.57 | $0.140 | $60 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Will Randy Fine win by 15-20%?Yes | buy | 314.66 | $0.191 | $60 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Will Jimmy Patronis win by 25-30%?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.080 | $60 | Apr 1, 2025 |
| Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad SchimelSchimel | sell | 384.16 | $0.150 | $57.62 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?Yes | buy | 1.35K | $0.047 | $63.2 | Mar 27, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | sell | 300.95 | $0.210 | $63.2 | Mar 27, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | buy | 300.96 | $0.230 | $69.22 | Mar 24, 2025 |
| Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad SchimelSchimel | buy | 384.17 | $0.180 | $69.15 | Mar 19, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before April?Yes | buy | 166.65 | $0.230 | $38.33 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.83K | $0.021 | $38.33 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?No | buy | 256.07 | $0.270 | $69.14 | Mar 9, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.83K | $0.038 | $69.2 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?Yes | buy | 454.29 | $0.152 | $69.02 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 3.38K | $0.043 | $144.94 | Jan 19, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes | sell | 176.75 | $0.820 | $144.94 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes | buy | 176.75 | $0.200 | $35.35 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Ric Grenell for Secretary of State?Yes | buy | 51.41 | $0.630 | $32.39 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 9.85K | $0.003 | $32.38 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 9.85K | $0.073 | $715.64 | Nov 9, 2024 |