Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 34.5%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 20 Feb 2025. Before it settled, the high was 62% on 21 Feb 2025 and the low 17.5% on 16 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 56.5% on 2 Mar 2025. $1.09M traded over the market's life.
33 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 19, 3:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 27 points · 20 Feb 2025 – 18 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2025 | 45.5% |
| 18 Mar 2025 | 34.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| digital | No | 999 |
| Bar0ck | No | 312.5 |
| MadbBanana | No | 240.21 |
| Hero56 | No | 149.25 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancelation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/israel-x-hamas-ceasefire-cancelled-before-april
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| jacobins | No | 74.63 |
| U56U56U5 | No | 61 |
| trevor777 | No | 55.13 |
| R4MKOL | Yes | 42.22 |
| orenz | Yes | 38.46 |
| 143BVJGHB | No | 28 |
