Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 93.5% on 8 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 49 daily closes on record from 8 Feb 2025 to 28 Mar 2025, the highest close was 99.7% on 21 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 100 points down, to 0.1% on 28 Mar 2025. $79K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 29, 12:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 49 points, 8 Feb 2025 – 28 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2025 | 93.5% |
| 28 Mar 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bobi2 | No | 99.97 |
| efsfesgesg | Yes | 2.42 |
| AdolphRossetti | Yes | 2.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if all of the following are confirmed by by the US Senate: Brooke Rollins - Secretary of Agriculture Howard Lutnick - Secretary of Commerce Linda McMahon - Secretary of Education Lori Chavez-DeRemer - Secretary of Labor Robert F. Kennedy Jr. - Secretary of Health and Human Services Tulsi Gabbard - Director of National Intelligence Jamieson Greer - US Trade Representative Elise Stefanik - US Ambassador to the UN Kelly Loeffler - Administrator of the Small Business Administration Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If any listed person's nomination is formally withdrawn or if the Senate rejects their nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must to confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. If any of these confirmation processes are still ongoing by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-all-remaining-trump-cabinet-picks-be-confirmed
| Yes |
| 2.26 |
| mrwang | Yes | 2.08 |
| georgewilson | Yes | 1.4 |
| MabelLandon | Yes | 1.31 |
| epstes | Yes | 0.03 |
| maniputakl | Yes | 0.02 |
| dolmil | Yes | 0.02 |
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