Latest trade
Apr 9, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 11:28 PM UTC.
Analytics
Conscious-Cub is down $78.08 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 4 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-03-23 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Apr 9, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 11:28 PM UTC.
$7 median trade
Its latest 28 trades covered 20 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Feb 1, 2026 UTC to Apr 9, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 249.32 | $0.234 | $13.71 | -$44.67 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 219.91 | $0.220 | $48.38 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-03-23 21:39 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 23:28 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
28 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 23:28 UTC
polymarket positions
5 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-03-23 21:39 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $93.73 and losing ones cost $3 across 4 settled positions.
The largest win was $68.19 on “Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?” (Yes); the largest loss, $3 on “US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 9 Apr 2026. It has traded 20 markets. Its open positions are worth $14.26 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 12.59 |
| $0.440 |
| $0.55 |
| -$4.99 |
| buy |
| 90.91 |
| $0.110 |
| $10 |
| Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 12.59 | $0.440 | $5.54 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 57.5 | $0.087 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 20.58 | $0.243 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 41.32 | $0.242 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
 US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?Yes | buy | 58.25 | $0.120 | $6.99 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 229.89 | $0.087 | $20 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Feb 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 223.72 | $0.017 | $3.83 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 87.01 | $0.057 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 95.75 | $0.104 | $10 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.080 | $6 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.014 | $3 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 109.9 | $0.045 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 78.38 | $0.130 | $10.19 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.