Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1.16 | +$0.16 |
 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US | sell | 3.01 | $0.434 | $1.31 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 12.64 |
| $0.396 |
| $0.7 |
| -$4.3 |
| buy |
| 6.12 |
| $0.490 |
| $3 |
| Mar 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.9 | $0.310 | $4 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.240 | $4 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 64.76 | $0.015 | $0.99 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 42.86 | $0.080 | $3.43 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 18.92 | $0.504 | $9.54 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.050 | $0.71 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 1.88 | $0.730 | $1.37 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.061 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | buy | 30.67 | $0.163 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes | buy | 13.42 | $0.149 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.64 | $0.396 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.112 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US | buy | 3.01 | $0.332 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.938 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |