Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 235.95 | $0.810 | $191.12 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.91K |
| $0.989 |
| $1.89K |
| Jan 29, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.27K | $0.985 | $1.25K | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 770.15 | $0.730 | $562.58 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 802.25 | $0.860 | $689.94 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 615.83 | $0.979 | $602.9 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 247.97 | $0.730 | $181.02 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 802.25 | $0.880 | $705.98 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 236.06 | $0.330 | $77.9 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 522.18 | $0.770 | $402.08 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 35.95 | $0.780 | $28.04 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 500 | $0.860 | $430 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 1.6K | $0.840 | $1.35K | Jan 12, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.985 | $985 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?No | buy | 419.58 | $0.967 | $405.73 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.780 | $156 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.700 | $139.94 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 571.25 | $0.738 | $421.79 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 352.25 | $0.670 | $236.01 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 99.17 | $0.895 | $88.76 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 200 | $0.899 | $179.8 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 500 | $0.860 | $430 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.996 | $199.25 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win Manhattan in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.997 | $99.7 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island?No | sell | 400 | $0.999 | $399.6 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?No | buy | 498.68 | $0.940 | $468.76 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 219 | $0.910 | $199.29 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 36.06 | $0.750 | $27.05 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.760 | $152 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Base launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 526.96 | $0.956 | $503.77 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win Manhattan in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.967 | $96.7 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?No | buy | 36.01 | $0.976 | $35.15 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island?No | buy | 200 | $0.930 | $186 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.36K | $0.770 | $1.05K | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 385.86 | $0.921 | $355.38 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 117.82 | $0.470 | $55.38 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Base launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 500.43 | $0.960 | $480.41 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 223 | $0.939 | $209.4 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.900 | $180 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island?No | buy | 200 | $0.940 | $188 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba’s Qwen 3 Max win the NOF1.ai competition?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.950 | $285 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 37.53 | $0.870 | $32.65 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 525.45 | $0.770 | $404.6 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.869 | $173.8 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 238 | $0.840 | $199.92 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 117.82 | $0.720 | $84.83 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.860 | $688 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?No | buy | 200 | $0.969 | $193.75 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?No | buy | 63.26 | $0.929 | $58.77 | Oct 6, 2025 |