Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 27 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 190 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 68% on 18 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 61 points down, to 5.5% on 24 Oct 2025. $406.12K traded over the market's life.
157 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 190 points, 27 Jun 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2025 | 44.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MegaETH launches a token and performs an airdrop by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from MegaETH, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/megaeth-airdrop-by
| nerdspotter | Yes | 2.83K |
| Downright-Parenting | Yes | 1.95K |
| devimaker | Yes | 1.59K |
| Lunaman | Yes | 1.47K |
| Shabby-Poll | Yes | 1.3K |
| 3pgplanet | Yes | 1.09K |
| liyongbiao | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
