Latest trade
Dec 15, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 5:31 PM UTC.
Analytics
MARW2025Sebastian is down $838.48 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 45 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-05 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Dec 15, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 5:31 PM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 39 markets; 74.0% were buys. They run from Jun 10, 2025 UTC to Dec 15, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.007 | $10 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-05 04:00 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-27 17:31 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 17:31 UTC
polymarket positions
46 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-05 04:00 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $174.78 and losing ones cost $837.73 across 45 settled positions. 11.1% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $64.21 on “Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?” (No); the largest loss, $100 on “Will Real Madrid win La Liga?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 15 Dec 2025. It has traded 76 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 3.33K |
| $0.006 |
| $20 |
| Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.1K | $0.010 | $20 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.013 | $20 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?Yes | buy | 91.9 | $0.326 | $30 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.009 | $1.81 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 153.84 | $0.023 | $3.54 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.003 | $0.36 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?Yes | sell | 111.32 | $0.003 | $0.3 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?Yes | sell | 173.61 | $0.001 | $0.17 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 92.59 | $0.005 | $0.46 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?Yes | sell | 54.78 | $0.004 | $0.22 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Detroit Lions win the NFC North?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.061 | $7.63 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Tennessee Titans finish with the worst record in the NFL?Yes | sell | 40.15 | $0.123 | $4.93 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the playoffs?Yes | sell | 32.05 | $0.190 | $6.09 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Rihanna release an album in 2025?Yes | sell | 65.21 | $0.069 | $4.47 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 163.88 | $0.610 | $100 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Tennessee Titans finish with the worst record in the NFL?Yes | buy | 40.16 | $0.623 | $25 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the playoffs?Yes | buy | 32.05 | $0.780 | $25 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 56.4 | $0.585 | $33 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 193.9 | $0.950 | $184.2 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 35.8 | $0.698 | $25 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North?Yes | buy | 112.65 | $0.488 | $55 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC West?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.550 | $55 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Detroit Lions win the NFC North?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.480 | $60 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?Yes | buy | 173.61 | $0.012 | $2 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?Yes | buy | 111.32 | $0.027 | $3 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.025 | $3 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Sep 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Solana reach $350 in September?Yes | buy | 204.08 | $0.049 | $10 | Sep 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 85.71 | $0.350 | $30 | Sep 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?Yes | buy | 54.78 | $0.456 | $25 | Sep 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.390 | $30 | Sep 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.540 | $30 | Sep 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.009 | $2 | Sep 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more?Yes | buy | 666.66 | $0.003 | $2 | Sep 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Sep 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?Yes | buy | 143.09 | $0.035 | $5 | Jul 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Pope Leo visit another country first?Yes | buy | 95.65 | $0.115 | $11 | Jul 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Graz host Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will The White Lotus win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?Yes | buy | 160.26 | $0.019 | $3 | Jul 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Paradise win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?Yes | buy | 160.58 | $0.019 | $3 | Jul 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 93.75 | $0.320 | $30 | Jul 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 236.56 | $0.063 | $15 | Jul 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?Yes | buy | 344.83 | $0.029 | $10 | Jul 14, 2025 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 193.9 | $0.619 | $120 | Jun 24, 2025 UTC |
 Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 158.67 | $0.063 | $10 | Jun 24, 2025 UTC |
 Will Aaron Rodgers retire?Yes | sell | 66.86 | $0.139 | $9.29 | Jun 10, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.