Latest trade
Dec 15, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 8:01 PM UTC.
Analytics
On Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Not enough settled positions to measure.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
MARW2025Sebastian is down $838.48 on Polymarket.
Profit and volume as of 2025-12-15 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
Dec 15, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 27, 8:01 PM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 39 markets; 74.0% were buys. They run from Jun 10, 2025 UTC to Dec 15, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Open positions could not be confirmed. Missing data does not mean this wallet holds no positions.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.007 | $10 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-12-15 20:19 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-27 20:01 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-27 20:01 UTC
unavailable
No reliable series returned
No dated chart point
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Its most recent trade on record was on 15 Dec 2025. It has traded 76 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 3.33K |
| $0.006 |
| $20 |
| Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
 Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.1K | $0.010 | $20 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.013 | $20 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?Yes | buy | 91.9 | $0.326 | $30 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.009 | $1.81 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 153.84 | $0.023 | $3.54 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.003 | $0.36 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?Yes | sell | 111.32 | $0.003 | $0.3 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?Yes | sell | 173.61 | $0.001 | $0.17 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 92.59 | $0.005 | $0.46 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?Yes | sell | 54.78 | $0.004 | $0.22 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Detroit Lions win the NFC North?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.061 | $7.63 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Tennessee Titans finish with the worst record in the NFL?Yes | sell | 40.15 | $0.123 | $4.93 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the playoffs?Yes | sell | 32.05 | $0.190 | $6.09 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Rihanna release an album in 2025?Yes | sell | 65.21 | $0.069 | $4.47 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 163.88 | $0.610 | $100 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Tennessee Titans finish with the worst record in the NFL?Yes | buy | 40.16 | $0.623 | $25 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the playoffs?Yes | buy | 32.05 | $0.780 | $25 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 56.4 | $0.585 | $33 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 193.9 | $0.950 | $184.2 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 35.8 | $0.698 | $25 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North?Yes | buy | 112.65 | $0.488 | $55 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC West?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.550 | $55 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will the Detroit Lions win the NFC North?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.480 | $60 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?Yes | buy | 173.61 | $0.012 | $2 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?Yes | buy | 111.32 | $0.027 | $3 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.025 | $3 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Sep 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Solana reach $350 in September?Yes | buy | 204.08 | $0.049 | $10 | Sep 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 85.71 | $0.350 | $30 | Sep 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?Yes | buy | 54.78 | $0.456 | $25 | Sep 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.390 | $30 | Sep 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.540 | $30 | Sep 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.009 | $2 | Sep 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will iPhone 17 cost $1,500 or more?Yes | buy | 666.66 | $0.003 | $2 | Sep 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Sep 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?Yes | buy | 143.09 | $0.035 | $5 | Jul 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Pope Leo visit another country first?Yes | buy | 95.65 | $0.115 | $11 | Jul 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Graz host Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will The White Lotus win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?Yes | buy | 160.26 | $0.019 | $3 | Jul 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Paradise win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?Yes | buy | 160.58 | $0.019 | $3 | Jul 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 93.75 | $0.320 | $30 | Jul 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 236.56 | $0.063 | $15 | Jul 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?Yes | buy | 344.83 | $0.029 | $10 | Jul 14, 2025 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | buy | 193.9 | $0.619 | $120 | Jun 24, 2025 UTC |
 Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 158.67 | $0.063 | $10 | Jun 24, 2025 UTC |
 Will Aaron Rodgers retire?Yes | sell | 66.86 | $0.139 | $9.29 | Jun 10, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.