Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Another Canada election called in 2025?No | buy | 63.34 | $0.936 | $59.29 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 138.83 |
| $0.954 |
| $132.49 |
| May 2, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?Yes | buy | 107.73 | $0.973 | $104.82 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 10.11 | $0.989 | $10 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 10.33 | $0.968 | $10 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will the Progressive Conservatives win the most seats in the next Ontario Parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 100.45 | $0.996 | $100 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?No | buy | 3.58 | $0.932 | $3.34 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?Yes | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 104.38 | $0.958 | $100 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will Trudeau resign Today?Yes | sell | 65.17 | $0.670 | $43.66 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Trudeau resigns before February?Yes | sell | 78.04 | $0.902 | $70.4 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Will Trudeau resign Today?Yes | buy | 65.18 | $0.850 | $55.4 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Trudeau resigns before February?Yes | buy | 15.92 | $0.942 | $15 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Trudeau resigns before February?Yes | buy | 53.06 | $0.942 | $49.98 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Trudeau resigns before February?Yes | buy | 9.06 | $0.907 | $8.22 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Trudeau resigns before February?Yes | sell | 9.16 | $0.895 | $8.2 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Trudeau resigns before February?Yes | buy | 9.16 | $0.950 | $8.7 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Trudeau resigns before February?Yes | sell | 116.76 | $0.931 | $108.7 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Trudeau resigns before February?Yes | buy | 9.58 | $0.909 | $8.71 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Trudeau resigns before February?Yes | buy | 107.18 | $0.933 | $100 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Yoon arrested by Friday?No | sell | 8.84 | $0.986 | $8.72 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Yoon arrested by Friday?No | buy | 8.85 | $0.980 | $8.67 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Will Biden resign in 2024?No | buy | 11.14 | $0.997 | $11.11 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Canada federal election in 2024?No | buy | 457.19 | $0.995 | $454.81 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?No | buy | 101.83 | $0.982 | $100 | Dec 8, 2024 |
| Will Biden resign in 2024?No | buy | 25.61 | $0.976 | $25 | Dec 8, 2024 |
| Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?No | buy | 101.21 | $0.988 | $100 | Dec 8, 2024 |
| Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?No | buy | 251.76 | $0.993 | $250 | Dec 8, 2024 |
| Will Biden resign in 2024?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.979 | $5 | Dec 3, 2024 |
 Macron out as president of France in 2024?No | buy | 7.2 | $0.954 | $6.87 | Dec 3, 2024 |
 German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Dec 3, 2024 |
 Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?No | buy | 306.12 | $0.980 | $300 | Nov 23, 2024 |
| Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?No | buy | 81.63 | $0.980 | $80 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Starmer out as UK prime minister in 2024?No | buy | 2.41 | $0.955 | $2.3 | Nov 23, 2024 |
| Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?No | buy | 102.04 | $0.980 | $100 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign in November?No | buy | 7.07 | $0.980 | $6.93 | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?No | sell | 49.47 | $0.140 | $6.93 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 House control after 2024 election?Republican | buy | 482.3 | $0.994 | $479.41 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?No | sell | 165 | $0.220 | $36.3 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?No | buy | 63.35 | $0.170 | $10.77 | Nov 9, 2024 |
| Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?No | buy | 151.12 | $0.165 | $25 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 443.11 | $0.998 | $442.38 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?Yes | sell | 527.63 | $0.838 | $442.38 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?Yes | buy | 527.64 | $0.962 | $507.35 | Nov 8, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 33.62 | $0.860 | $28.91 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will the AP call the election on November 5?No | sell | 35.69 | $0.810 | $28.91 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will the AP call the election on November 5?No | buy | 35.7 | $0.821 | $29.29 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 58.14 | $0.860 | $50 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Nov 5, 2024 |