Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 72.5%. Yes opened at 52% on 18 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 18 Dec 2024 to 6 Jan 2025, the highest close was 72.5% on 6 Jan 2025 and the lowest 24% on 29 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 72.5% on 6 Jan 2025. $654.31K traded over the market's life.
39 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 7, 6:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 18 Dec 2024 – 6 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Dec 2024 | 52.0% |
| 6 Jan 2025 | 72.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rousseauuu | No | 18.19K |
| heuer | No | 6.54K |
| Vasss | No | 3.58K |
| qbit | No | 1.61K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning as Prime Minister of Canada or otherwise ceases to be Prime Minister of Canada for any length of time between December 16, 2024 and January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Justin Trudeau announces he is resigning but remains in office to a point outside this market's timeframe, the announcement will still qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Justin Trudeau or the government of Canada, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trudeau-resigns-before-february
New to prediction markets?
| Funkymonkey123 | No | 1.17K |
| Popppa | No | 847.27 |
| jesuiscontent | No | 831.24 |
| Infinityy | No | 632.21 |
| Herecomesdatboi3005 | No | 483.22 |
| Gooseggs | Yes | 333 |
